rational
Issue #193: Full List
5 December, 2021 // View curated list
Omicron is getting more defined: Prior Covid or 2 shots, do not provide much defense. The 3rd shot helps, but effectiveness is considerably lower than with Delta. Our “last line of defense” is our T cell memory. // erictopol.substack.com
# Coronavirus
Omicron Variant Post #2 // Zvi, 17 min
FDA Votes on Molunpiravir // Zvi, 10 min
Omicron Post #3 // Zvi, 17 min
Covid 12/2: But Aside From That // Zvi, 10 min
Covid Prediction Markets at Polymarket // Zvi, 8 min
Should we postpone getting a booster due to Omicron, till there are Omicron-specific boosters? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Experience with Cue Covid Testing // jkaufman, 2 min
Covid Christmas // jkaufman, 2 min
Looking for reasoned discussion on Geert Vanden Bossche's ideas? +6 Months on... // megabranflake, 1 min
COVID Era: Updating On Life Risks // jmh, 4 min
Viral Mutation, Pandemics and Social Response // jmh, 2 min
MM: Omicron Variant // Scott Alexander, 1 min
# Instrumental
Watching Myself Program // matto, 2 min Favorite
Reneging Prosocially // Duncan_Sabien, 20 min
How do you write original rationalist essays? // lumenwrites, 1 min
Relying on Future Creativity // Jemist, 1 min
# Epistemic
"Infohazard" is a predominantly conflict-theoretic concept // jessica.liu.taylor, 18 min
Seeking Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning // gworley, 4 min
The Learning System // henrik-karlsson, 12 min
Are explanations that explain more phenomena always more unlikely than narrower versions? // FinalFormal2, 1 min
# Ai
Visible Thoughts Project and Bounty Announcement // So8res, 14 min
Infra-Bayesian physicalism: a formal theory of naturalized induction // vanessa-kosoy, 54 min
Misc. questions about EfficientZero // daniel-kokotajlo, 1 min
Self-studying to develop an inside-view model of AI alignment; co-studiers welcome! // Vael Gates, 4 min
Agency: What it is and why it matters // daniel-kokotajlo, 2 min
[Linkpost] A General Language Assistant as a Laboratory for Alignment // quintin-pope, 2 min
$100/$50 rewards for good references // Stuart_Armstrong, 1 min
Formalizing Policy-Modification Corrigibility // TurnTrout, 7 min
How to measure FLOP/s for NNs empirically? // marius-hobbhahn, 9 min
Comments on Allan Dafoe on AI Governance // alexflint, 8 min
AI Governance Fundamentals - Curriculum and Application // Mauricio, 17 min
Agents as P₂B Chain Reactions // daniel-kokotajlo, 2 min
Does the Structure of an algorithm matter for AI Risk and/or consciousness? // logan-zoellner, 1 min
Advancing Mathematics By Guiding Human Intuition With AI // interstice
TTS audio of "Ngo and Yudkowsky on alignment difficulty" // quintin-pope, 1 min
Compute Research Questions and Metrics - Transformative AI and Compute [4/4] // lennart, 18 min
Soares, Tallinn, and Yudkowsky discuss AGI cognition // Rob Bensinger, 49 min
# Meta-ethics
Morality is Scary // Wei_Dai, 5 min
Tears Must Flow // deluks917, 1 min
# Longevity
Second-order selection against the immortal // Elmer of Malmesbury, 6 min
# Anthropic
Russian x-risks newsletter fall 2021 // avturchin, 1 min
Anthropics and the Universal Distribution // joekc, 57 min
# Decision theory
My take on higher-order game theory // Nisan, 5 min
Where in the world will a UBI develop first? // Asgård, 1 min
# Math and cs
Common Probability Distributions // jsteinhardt, 6 min
A Generalization of ROC AUC for Binary Classifiers // adam-scherlis, 2 min
Question/Issue with the 5/10 Problem // acgt, 3 min
Infra-Bayesian physicalism: proofs part I // vanessa-kosoy, 37 min
Infra-Bayesian physicalism: proofs part II // vanessa-kosoy, 40 min
# Books
The bonds of family and community: Poverty and cruelty among Russian peasants in the late 19th century // jasoncrawford, 18 min
Book Review: Lifespan // Scott Alexander, 16 min
# Misc
The Rationalists of the 1950s (and before) also called themselves “Rationalists” // Owain_Evans, 3 min
Taking Clones Seriously // Raymond D, 2 min
Browser Engines // jkaufman, 2 min
The Limits Of Medicine - Part 1 - Small Molecules // George3d6, 10 min
Apparently winning by the bias of your opponents // tailcalled, 8 min
Why Bedroom Closets? // jkaufman, 1 min
What are the limitations on politically motivated relocation? // Asgård, 1 min
Snoo App Thoughts // jkaufman, 2 min
# Podcasts
AXRP Episode 12 - AI Existential Risk with Paul Christiano // DanielFilan, 157 min
151 – Don’t Make This Your Everything // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 136 min
Dangerous biological research - is it worth it? (Kevin Esvelt) // Rationally Speaking, 67 min
#117 - David Denkenberger on using paper mills and seaweed to feed everyone in a catastrophe, ft Sahil Shah // , 188 min
Currents 046: Henry Elkus & Sam Feinburg on Solving Societal Problems // The Jim Rutt Show, 46 min
# Rational fiction
Singularity 1998 // conor-sullivan, 13 min
# Videos of the week
Jamie Metzl: Lab Leak Theory | Lex Fridman Podcast #247 // Lex Fridman, 295 min