rational
Issue #193
5 December, 2021 // View full list
Omicron is getting more defined: Prior Covid or 2 shots, do not provide much defense. The 3rd shot helps, but effectiveness is considerably lower than with Delta. Our “last line of defense” is our T cell memory. // erictopol.substack.com
# Coronavirus
Omicron Variant Post #2 // Zvi, 17 min
FDA Votes on Molunpiravir // Zvi, 10 min
Omicron Post #3 // Zvi, 17 min
Covid 12/2: But Aside From That // Zvi, 10 min
Covid Prediction Markets at Polymarket // Zvi, 8 min
# Instrumental
Watching Myself Program // matto, 2 min Favorite
Reneging Prosocially // Duncan_Sabien, 20 min
How do you write original rationalist essays? // lumenwrites, 1 min
Relying on Future Creativity // Jemist, 1 min
# Epistemic
"Infohazard" is a predominantly conflict-theoretic concept // jessica.liu.taylor, 18 min
Seeking Truth Too Hard Can Keep You from Winning // gworley, 4 min
The Learning System // henrik-karlsson, 12 min
Are explanations that explain more phenomena always more unlikely than narrower versions? // FinalFormal2, 1 min
# Ai
Visible Thoughts Project and Bounty Announcement // So8res, 14 min
Infra-Bayesian physicalism: a formal theory of naturalized induction // vanessa-kosoy, 54 min
Misc. questions about EfficientZero // daniel-kokotajlo, 1 min
Agency: What it is and why it matters // daniel-kokotajlo, 2 min
[Linkpost] A General Language Assistant as a Laboratory for Alignment // quintin-pope, 2 min
# Meta-ethics
Morality is Scary // Wei_Dai, 5 min
Tears Must Flow // deluks917, 1 min
# Longevity
Second-order selection against the immortal // Elmer of Malmesbury, 6 min
# Anthropic
Russian x-risks newsletter fall 2021 // avturchin, 1 min
Anthropics and the Universal Distribution // joekc, 57 min
# Decision theory
My take on higher-order game theory // Nisan, 5 min
Where in the world will a UBI develop first? // Asgård, 1 min
# Math and cs
Common Probability Distributions // jsteinhardt, 6 min
A Generalization of ROC AUC for Binary Classifiers // adam-scherlis, 2 min
Question/Issue with the 5/10 Problem // acgt, 3 min
Infra-Bayesian physicalism: proofs part I // vanessa-kosoy, 37 min
Infra-Bayesian physicalism: proofs part II // vanessa-kosoy, 40 min
# Books
The bonds of family and community: Poverty and cruelty among Russian peasants in the late 19th century // jasoncrawford, 18 min
Book Review: Lifespan // Scott Alexander, 16 min
# Misc
The Rationalists of the 1950s (and before) also called themselves “Rationalists” // Owain_Evans, 3 min
Taking Clones Seriously // Raymond D, 2 min
The Limits Of Medicine - Part 1 - Small Molecules // George3d6, 10 min
Apparently winning by the bias of your opponents // tailcalled, 8 min
Why Bedroom Closets? // jkaufman, 1 min
# Podcasts
AXRP Episode 12 - AI Existential Risk with Paul Christiano // DanielFilan, 157 min
151 – Don’t Make This Your Everything // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 136 min
Dangerous biological research - is it worth it? (Kevin Esvelt) // Rationally Speaking, 67 min
#117 - David Denkenberger on using paper mills and seaweed to feed everyone in a catastrophe, ft Sahil Shah // , 188 min
# Rational fiction
Singularity 1998 // conor-sullivan, 13 min
# Videos of the week
Jamie Metzl: Lab Leak Theory | Lex Fridman Podcast #247 // Lex Fridman, 295 min