rationalnewsletter

Issue #99: Full List

Death rates from modern renewables & nuclear are similar, and orders of magnitude lower than fossil fuels. Moving away from fossil fuels is a win-win for climate & health, regardless of what we choose. // ourworldindata.org

# Instrumental

Training Regime Day 1: What is applied rationality? // Mark Xu, 5 min

Training Regime Day 0: Introduction // Mark Xu, 2 min

How do you use face masks? // ChristianKl, 1 min

# Epistemic

Exercises in Comprehensive Information Gathering // johnswentworth, 3 min Favorite

Confirmation Bias As Misfire Of Normal Bayesian Reasoning // Scott Alexander, 2 min

Suspiciously balanced evidence // gjm, 4 min

# Ai

Demons in Imperfect Search // johnswentworth, 3 min

Did AI pioneers not worry much about AI risks? // lisperati, 1 min

Attainable Utility Landscape: How The World Is Changed // TurnTrout, 6 min

Bayesian Evolving-to-Extinction // abramdemski, 6 min

Distinguishing definitions of takeoff // Matthew Barnett, 7 min

The Catastrophic Convergence Conjecture // TurnTrout, 8 min

Simulation of technological progress (work in progress) // Daniel Kokotajlo, 5 min

Impact measures and subagents // Stuart_Armstrong, 2 min

Does there exist an AGI-level parameter setting for modern DRL architectures? // TurnTrout, 1 min

Gricean communication and meta-preferences // Charlie Steiner, 4 min

What is the difference between robustness and inner alignment? // JanBrauner, 1 min

Does iterated amplification tackle the inner alignment problem? // JanBrauner, 1 min

A Variance Indifferent Maximizer Alternative // Nevan Wichers, 5 min

# Longevity

What are the risks of having your genome publicly available? // Mati_Roy, 1 min

# Anthropic

Why Science is slowing down, Universities and Maslow's hierarchy of needs // George, 12 min

State Space of X-Risk Trajectories // David_Kristoffersson, 11 min

# Decision theory

Reference Post: Trivial Decision Problem // Chris_Leong, 1 min

Why do we refuse to take action claiming our impact would be too small? // hookdump, 1 min

Defrock Deregulation Economists? // Robin Hanson, 3 min

Explainable Governance // Robin Hanson, 3 min

# Math and cs

A Simple Introduction to Neural Networks // sil ver, 22 min

The Reasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics, or, AI vs sandwiches // Vanessa Kosoy, 9 min

Perceptrons Explained // lifelonglearner, 1 min

Intelligence without causality // Donald Hobson, 3 min

# Relationships

The Relational Stance // Raemon, 9 min Favorite

How to Frame Negative Feedback as Forward-Facing Guidance // Liron, 3 min

Relationship Outcomes Are Not Particularly Sensitive to Small Variations in Verbal Ability // Zack_M_Davis, 1 min

# Community

A 'Practice of Rationality' Sequence? // abramdemski, 3 min

Effective Altruism 80,000 hours workshop materials & outline (and Feb 10 '19 KC meetup notes) // samstowers, 2 min

South Bay Meetup // DavidFriedman, 1 min

Autogenderphilia Is Common And Not Especially Related To Transgender // Scott Alexander, 6 min

# Culture war

Addendum to “Targeting Meritocracy” // Scott Alexander, 1 min

# Misc

Will nCoV survivors suffer lasting disability at a high rate? // jimrandomh, 1 min

It "wanted" ... // jmh, 1 min

Consider Controlled Infection // Robin Hanson, 4 min

# Podcasts

#70 - Dr Cassidy Nelson on the 12 best ways to stop the next pandemic (and limit nCoV) // The 80000 Hours team, 146 min

104 – Do You Want To Ask or Guess This Episode’s Topic? // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 112 min

# Videos of the week

OpenAI Performs Surgery On A Neural Network to Play DOTA 2 // Two Minute Papers, 7 min