rationalnewsletter

Issue #239

Toxoplasma-infected students are 180% more likely start ventures & infected founders have 8% more revenue // royalsocietypublishing.org

# Instrumental

Elastic Productivity Tools // sberens, 2 min

Developer experience for the motivation // adamzerner, 4 min

Preventing, reversing, and addressing data leakage: some thoughts // VipulNaik, 27 min

Strategy of Inner Conflict // JonathanMoregard, 8 min

How do people do remote research collaborations effectively? // Krieger, 1 min

# Epistemic

Internal communication framework // rosehadshar, 14 min

Moral contagion heuristic // mvolz, 2 min

Miracles and why not to believe them // mruwnik, 3 min

# Ai

By Default, GPTs Think In Plain Sight // Fabien, 13 min

Results from the interpretability hackathon // esben-kran, 7 min

Current themes in mechanistic interpretability research // Lee_Sharkey, 14 min

Update to Mysteries of mode collapse: text-davinci-002 not RLHF // janus, 2 min

Disagreement with bio anchors that lead to shorter timelines // marius-hobbhahn, 7 min

# Meta-ethics

Deontology and virtue ethics as "effective theories" of consequentialist ethics // Jan_Kulveit

In Defence of Temporal Discounting in Longtermist Ethics // DragonGod

Reflective Consequentialism // adamzerner, 5 min

My Deontology Says Narrow-Mindedness is Always Wrong // LVSN, 1 min

# Decision theory

If Professional Investors Missed This... // jkaufman, 3 min

Two New Newcomb Variants // eva_, 3 min

Why bet Kelly? // AlexMennen, 5 min

logical vs indexical dignity // carado-1, 1 min

Why are profitable companies laying off staff? // yair-halberstadt, 1 min

# Math and cs

Some research ideas in forecasting // Jsevillamol

# Books

Review: Bayesian Statistics the Fun Way by Will Kurt // matto, 2 min

# Ea

Noting an unsubstantiated communal belief about the FTX disaster // yitz

Estimating the probability that FTX Future Fund grant money gets clawed back // spencerg

Introducing The Logical Foundation, A Plan to End Poverty With Guaranteed Income // michael-simm

Discussion: Was SBF a naive utilitarian, or a sociopath? // NicholasKross

X-risk Mitigation Does Actually Require Longtermism // DragonGod

# Community

The Alignment Community Is Culturally Broken // sudo, 2 min

Announcing the Progress Forum // jasoncrawford, 1 min

Kelsey Piper's recent interview of SBF // agucova

SBF x LoL // NicholasKross

# Fun

Improving Emergency Vehicle Utilization // jkaufman, 1 min

# Misc

Sadly, FTX // Zvi, 56 min

The FTX Saga - Simplified // jorge-velez, 9 min

Make the Drought Evaporate! // AnthonyRepetto, 4 min

When should we be surprised that an invention took “so long”? // jasoncrawford, 5 min

The Psychopharmacology Of The FTX Crash // Scott Alexander, 25 min

# Podcasts

175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 105 min

# Rational fiction

Lying to Save Humanity // cebsuv, 1 min

# Videos of the week

My Videos // Robin Hanson, 2 min