rationalnewsletter

Issue #22

Study finds that people infer preferences from forecasts: if a forecaster predicts an outcome, people infer that the forecaster prefers this outcome. This matches previous findings saying that forecasts are in fact often guided by preferences. // journals.sagepub.com

# Instrumental

Amy Hoy's How To Master New Skills // cedric, 1 min Favorite

Unrolling social metacognition: Three levels of meta are not enough. // Academian, 8 min

Four kinds of problems // jacobjacob, 3 min

Flying Blind into the Anthropocene // Venkatesh Rao, 2 min

Carbon Dioxide: An Open Door Policy // Scott Alexander, 5 min

# Ai

Alignment Newsletter #20 // rohinmshah, 7 min

# Anthropic

If The Future Is Big // Robin Hanson, 9 min

# Decision theory

Decision Theory with F@#!ed-Up Reference Classes // Chris_Leong, 9 min

# Math and cs

Reducing collective rationality to individual optimization in common-payoff games using MCMC // jessicata, 8 min

Turning Up the Heat: Insights from Tao's 'Analysis II' // TurnTrout, 8 min

# Books

Book Review: AI Safety and Security // Michaël Trazzi, 13 min Favorite

# Ea

REACH Panel Nomination Form // stardust, 1 min

Practically-A-Book Review: EA Hotel // Scott Alexander, 6 min

# Community

Rationalist Community Hub in Moscow: 3 Years Retrospective // berekuk, 19 min

Historical mathematicians exhibit the Less Wrong birth order effect // elityre, 6 min

# Misc

Jobs Inside the API // Jacobian, 9 min Favorite

Large Research Report on Attitudes to Genetic Technologies // ole.koksvik, 1 min

A future for neuroscience // Mike Johnson, 23 min

My Kind of Atheist // Robin Hanson, 3 min

# Podcasts

Rationally Speaking #215 - Anders Sandberg on "Thinking about the long-term future of humanity" // NYC Skeptics, 43 min Favorite

#40 - Katja Grace on forecasting future technology & how much we should trust expert predictions // The 80,000 Hours team, 131 min

087: What is the Future of Sex Robots? // Review the Future, 83 min

#135 — Navigating Sex and Gender // Waking up with Sam Harris, 90 min

# Videos of the week

Get to sleep using an an Artificial Intelligence Lullaby // AXA PPP healthcare, 2 min