rational
Issue #209: Full List
3 April, 2022 // View curated list
A study in Nature Geoscience suggests that global tree restoration could cause substantial and regionally variable changes in water availability. // www.nature.com
# Coronavirus
They Don’t Know About Second Booster // Zvi, 7 min
Covid 3/31/2022: More of the Same // Zvi, 13 min
# Instrumental
Do a cost-benefit analysis of your technology usage // TurnTrout, 14 min Favorite
How to Make Your Article Change People's Minds or Actions? (Spoiler: Do User Testing Like a Startup Would) // yonatan-cale-1, 1 min
Mental nonsense: my anti-insomnia trick // AllAmericanBreakfast, 1 min
Kids Posts Retrospective // jkaufman, 8 min
Noobs Need Rules // Jacobian, 7 min
A bicycle for your memory // sortega, 9 min
Approach to Screen Time // jkaufman, 1 min
Towards trying to feel consistently energized // maxwell-peterson, 7 min
Practical everyday human strategizing // akaTrickster, 4 min
# Epistemic
How Money Fails to Track Value // JustinShovelain, 6 min
To Make Better Software, Do What Artists Do // matto, 11 min
The Low-Hanging Fruit Argument: Models And Predictions // Scott Alexander, 7 min
# Ai
New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models // 1a3orn, 6 min
[Link] Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models // nostalgebraist, 1 min
Gears-Level Mental Models of Transformer Interpretability // KevinRoWang, 7 min
Humans pretending to be robots pretending to be human // Richard_Kennaway, 1 min
Manhattan project for aligned AI // chrisvm, 2 min
Uncontrollable Super-Powerful Explosives // SDM, 5 min
Can we simulate human evolution to create a somewhat aligned AGI? // thomas-kwa, 8 min
Newcomb’s problem is just a standard time consistency problem // bhalperin, 15 min
Procedurally evaluating factual accuracy: a request for research // Jacob_Hilton, 7 min
Some thoughts about consequentialist structure // leogao, 4 min
Some thoughts about deceptive mesaoptimization // leogao, 8 min
If AGI were coming in a year, what should we do? // MichaelStJules, 1 min
Meta wants to use AI to write Wikipedia articles; I am Nervous™ // yitz, 1 min
Some thoughts about ways ELK could still be solvable in practice // leogao, 2 min
What would make you confident that AGI has been achieved? // yitz, 1 min
Some observations about Consequentialist Structure // leogao, 4 min
Some observations about deceptive mesaoptimization // leogao, 8 min
Your specific attitudes towards AI safety // esben-kran, 1 min
Strategies for differential divulgation of key ideas in AI capability // azsantosk, 7 min
Questions about ''formalizing instrumental goals" // mark-neyer, 13 min
[Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 10. The alignment problem // steve2152, 26 min
What's the problem with Oracular AIs? // FinalFormal2, 1 min
Progress Report 2 // nathan-helm-burger, 1 min
# Meta-ethics
Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented” // HoldenKarnofsky, 18 min
Consequentialist veganism // tslarm, 2 min
Moral Anti-Realism: Introduction & Summary // Lukas_Gloor, 8 min
# Longevity
GlyNAC improves biomarkers in humans and extends lifespan in rodents // Josh Mitteldorf, 4 min
# Anthropic
Great Filter Steps With Set-Backs & Dead-Ends // Robin Hanson, 3 min
# Decision theory
Accounting For College Costs // johnswentworth, 9 min
Beyond Blame Minimization // physicaleconomics, 4 min
Moloch and the sandpile catastrophe // eric-raymond, 3 min
How Does The Finance Industry Generate Real Economic Value? // johnswentworth, 7 min
Using Prediction Markets to Guide Government Policy // lsusr, 1 min
The real reason Futarchists are doomed // lc, 6 min
No, EDT Did Not Get It Right All Along: Why the Coin Flip Creation Problem Is Irrelevant // Heighn, 4 min
Toward a general structure of economic explanation // physicaleconomics, 5 min
We Trust The Statusful // Robin Hanson, 2 min
Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets // Scott Alexander, 10 min
# Math and cs
The Halting Problem and the Impossible Photocopier // Jemist, 1 min
Sums and products // ege-erdil, 13 min
How I repeatedly failed to use Tobit modelling on censored data // abstractapplic, 11 min
Intro to hacking with the lambda calculus // LRudL, 30 min
Optional stopping // ege-erdil, 7 min
# Books
Book review: Very Important People // ricraz, 3 min
A Summary of "Four Thousand Weeks" by Oliver Burkeman // tommy-biggnus, 4 min
Summary: "How to read a book" by Mortimer Adler // pablo-repetto-1
# Community
Taking Good Heart Tokens Seriously, So Help Me God // Jackson Wagner, 7 min
Unfinished Projects Thread // Gunnar_Zarncke, 1 min
Sydney AI Safety Fellowship Review // Chris_Leong, 10 min
Community Building: Micro vs. Macro // Chris_Leong, 4 min
# Culture war
[NSFW Review] Interspecies Reviewers // lsusr, 2 min
Ukraine Post #7: Prediction Market Update // Zvi, 11 min
How many generals does Russia have left? // yitz, 1 min
Real biosafety is socially inconvenient // ChristianKl, 3 min
Who Gets Self-Determination? // Scott Alexander, 11 min
# Fun
MIRI announces new "Death With Dignity" strategy // Eliezer_Yudkowsky, 22 min Favorite
Replacing Karma with Good Heart Tokens (Worth $1!) // Benito, 5 min
Using prediction markets to generate LessWrong posts // matthew-barnett, 1 min
Announcing Impact Island: A New EA Reality TV Show // Linch, 4 min
Good Heart Donation Lottery // gworley, 2 min
Forecasting Newsletter: April 2222 // Radamantis, 7 min
Manafold Markets is out of mana ? // austin-chen, 1 min
5 Tips for Good Heart Maximization // thomas-kwa, 1 min
If you lose enough Good Heart Tokens, will you lose real-world money? // yitz, 1 min
Prime numbers (April fool's) // goodestheart, 1 min
# Misc
Kosher Hot Dogs // johnswentworth, 3 min
20 Modern Heresies // rogersbacon, 19 min
The lure of technocracy // jasoncrawford, 5 min
The Opposite Of Autism // Capybasilisk, 3 min
Fermi Estimates and Dyson Designs // Venkatesh Rao, 1 min
Idol Words // Scott Alexander, 18 min
# Podcasts
AXRP Episode 13 - First Principles of AGI Safety with Richard Ngo // DanielFilan, 59 min
#125 - Joan Rohlfing on how to avoid catastrophic nuclear blunders // , 133 min
Currents 060: Panos Siozos on Online Education // The Jim Rutt Show, 43 min
Monarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser) // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 15 min
# Rational fiction
Moses and the Class Struggle // lsusr, 5 min
Anti-Corruption Market // lsusr, 3 min
Luna Lovegood and the Bayesian Conspiracy // lsusr, 1 min
Psyche-Sort // Kaj_Sotala, 2 min
# Videos of the week
Chris Mason: Space Travel, Colonization, and Long-Term Survival in Space | Lex Fridman Podcast #283 // Lex Fridman, 175 min