rational
Issue #207: Full List
20 March, 2022 // View curated list
# Coronavirus
Omicron #16: Danger in China // Zvi, 4 min
Covid 3/17/22: The Rise of BA.2 // Zvi, 29 min
When will kids stop wearing masks at school? // daniel-kokotajlo, 1 min
MicroCOVID risk levels inaccurate due to undercounting in data sources vs wastewater data? // Sameerishere, 1 min
# Instrumental
Food manufacturers are out to get you // jwray, 5 min
How to Lumenate (UK Edition) // cmessinger, 6 min
On Defecting On Yourself // David Udell, 4 min
Rationalists Should Learn Lock Picking // brook, 2 min
# Epistemic
Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It // FCCC, 5 min
Learned Blankness and Expectations of Solubility // brook, 2 min
War Mode vs. Peace Mode // parsley, 1 min
On Context And People // jan-2, 11 min
Replacing Natural Interpretations // adamShimi, 7 min
# Ai
Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery // Vaniver, 1 min
New GPT3 Impressive Capabilities - InstructGPT3 [1/2] // WayZ, 9 min
Some (potentially) fundable AI Safety Ideas // elriggs, 6 min
Can you be Not Even Wrong in AI Alignment? // throwaway8238, 8 min
Phase transitions and AGI // ege-erdil, 11 min
Wargaming AGI Development // ryan_b, 5 min
ELK contest submission: route understanding through the human ontology // Vika, 1 min
Using GPT-3 for preventing conflict during messaging — a pitch for an app // Eli_, 4 min
What do paradigm shifts look like? // leogao, 1 min
What to do after inventing AGI? // elephantcrew, 1 min
[Intro to brain-like-AGI safety] 8. Takeaways from neuro 1/2: On AGI development // steve2152, 18 min
[Linkpost] Growth in FLOPS used to train ML models // Derek-Jones, 1 min
One possible approach to develop the best possible general learning algorithm // martillopart, 9 min
Danger(s) of theorem-proving AI? // yitz, 1 min
# Meta-ethics
Notes on Social Responsibility // David_Gross, 25 min
# Anthropic
My current thoughts on the risks from SETI // matthew-barnett, 11 min
Is Grabby Aliens built on good anthropic reasoning? // steve2152, 1 min
Our time in history as evidence for simulation theory? // Garrett Garzonie, 1 min
# Decision theory
Nuclear Deterrence 101 (and why the US can't even hint at intervening in Ukraine) // Darmani, 3 min
Game theory, sanctions, and Ukraine // Dumbledore's Army, 3 min
Probabilistic Negotiation // istandleet, 3 min
On expected utility, part 1: Skyscrapers and madmen // joekc, 14 min
On expected utility, part 2: Why it can be OK to predictably lose // joekc, 19 min
Is there a link between Immigration Policy and Inflation? // hawk-ebia, 2 min
Maximize in a limited domain. Hope for the future. // Dacyn, 10 min
# Math and cs
Whence the determinant? // ege-erdil, 6 min
Thoughts on the SPIES Forecasting Method? // rodeo_flagellum, 2 min
Do small studies add up? // one_forward, 6 min
[Quote] Why does i show up in Quantum Mechanics and other Beautiful Math Mysteries // Gunnar_Zarncke, 1 min
Exploring Finite Factored Sets with some toy examples // thomas-kehrenberg, 12 min
# Books
Shotgun Book Reviews: Against Method, The Knowledge Machine and Understanding Nature // adamShimi, 9 min
# Culture war
Ethicality Behind Breaking the Glass Ceiling // ajfox, 2 min
Why a No-Fly-Zone would be the biggest gift to Putin, and why Zelenskyy keeps asking for it [Linkpost and commentary] // Dojan, 3 min
Ukraine #3: Decision Theory, Madman Theory and the Mafioso Nature // Zvi, 23 min
Formal epistemiology for extracting truth from news sources // Enigma, 1 min
Justice Creep // Scott Alexander, 4 min
# Misc
Thoughts on Crowdfunding with Refund Bonuses // Yoav Ravid, 7 min
[Linkpost] 7 Swedish Words to Import // mike_hawke
Smoking cigarettes in airplanes made the airplanes safer? // CraigMichael, 1 min
Can you only realize objects in your mind after they appear? // [email protected], 1 min
Friends, Factions, And Status // Robin Hanson, 4 min
# Podcasts
#123 - Samuel Charap on why Putin invaded Ukraine, the risk of escalation, and how to prevent disaster // , 59 min
Currents 057: Timothy Clancy on Russia’s Mid-Game // The Jim Rutt Show, 46 min
# Rational fiction
Luna Lovegood and the Fidelius Curse - Part 11 // lsusr, 1 min
# Videos of the week
OpenAI DALL-E 2: Top 10 Insane Results! ? // Two Minute Papers, 12 min