rational
Issue #169: Full List
20 June, 2021 // View curated listRetrospective analysis of 2014 NeurIPS: There was no correlation between reviewer quality scores and paper's eventual impact. // inverseprobability.com
# Coronavirus
Covid 6/17: One Last Scare // Zvi, 14 min
Why did no LessWrong discourse on gain of function research develop in 2013/2014? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Covid vaccine safety: how correct are these allegations? // DPiepgrass, 22 min
Fauci’s Emails and the Lab Leak Hypothesis // ChristianKl, 14 min
Which rationalists faced significant side-effects from COVID-19 vaccination? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Up-to-date advice about what to do upon getting COVID? // DanielFilan, 1 min
10 Deadly Viruses And Bacteria Created In Labs - 6 SARS 2.0 // ChristianKl, 1 min
What is your coronavirus prediction for Israel? // yair-halberstadt, 1 min
# Instrumental
The Moon is Down; I have not heard the clock // chemslug, 2 min
Experiments with a random clock // Elmer of Malmesbury, 7 min
Five Suggestions For Rationality Research and Development // BrienneYudkowsky, 1 min
Walking to School // jkaufman, 1 min
The value of low-conscientiousness people on teams // CraigMichael, 7 min
Are bread crusts healthier? // yair-halberstadt, 1 min
(Another) Using a Memory Palace to Memorize a Textbook // Spencer_Green, 5 min
How to make errands fun // dominicq, 1 min
# Epistemic
Taboo "Outside View" // daniel-kokotajlo, 8 min Favorite
Precognition // jasoncrawford, 2 min
Avoid News, Part 2: What the Stock Market Taught Me about News // PeterMcCluskey, 7 min
Looking Deeper at Deconfusion // adamShimi, 18 min
Variables Don't Represent The Physical World (And That's OK) // johnswentworth, 3 min
Shall we count the living or the dead? // Anders_H, 1 min
# Ai
Reward Is Not Enough // steve2152, 12 min
Parameter counts in Machine Learning // Jsevillamol, 8 min
MIRIx Part I: Insufficient Values // Jozdien, 6 min
AI-Based Code Generation Using GPT-J-6B // Bjartur Tómas, 1 min
Avoiding the instrumental policy by hiding information about humans // paulfchristiano, 2 min
A Breakdown of AI Chip Companies // Bjartur Tómas
Answering questions honestly given world-model mismatches // paulfchristiano, 19 min
Biotech to make humans afraid of AI // donald-hobson, 1 min
Three Paths to Existential Risk from AI // harsimony
Pros and cons of working on near-term technical AI safety and assurance // alenglander, 3 min
What other problems would a successful AI safety algorithm solve? // AllAmericanBreakfast, 1 min
# Meta-ethics
Neo-Mohism // Senarin, 4 min
# Longevity
The aducanumab approval // ChristianKl, 1 min
Questions about multivitamins, especially manganese // ryan_greenblatt, 1 min
Anyone have experience with metabolic network modelling that would be willing to help me out? // CraigMichael, 1 min
Is aging inevitable? // Josh Mitteldorf, 4 min
# Anthropic
Non-poisonous cake: anthropic updates are normal // Stuart_Armstrong, 1 min
Doomsday, Sampling Assumptions, and Bayes // yair-halberstadt, 13 min
“Artificial” = Not-Self-Made? // Robin Hanson, 3 min
Would UFO Aliens Be Our Gods? // Robin Hanson, 5 min
# Decision theory
Notes on War: Grand Strategy // johnswentworth, 9 min
Coronavirus crash vs history // bfinn, 2 min
Assume long serving politicians are rationally maximizing their careers // rockthecasbah, 1 min
Conditional offers and low priors: the problem with 1-boxing Newcomb's dilemma // andrew-vlahos, 1 min
A Reason to Expect Republics to Perform Better than Absolute Monarchies in the Long-Term // mikkel-wilson, 2 min
Open problem: how can we quantify player alignment in 2x2 normal-form games? // TurnTrout, 1 min
An Introduction to Prediction Markets // jorge-velez, 5 min
What are examples of the opposite of perverse examples? // JohnGreer, 1 min
How School Goes Wrong // Robin Hanson, 5 min
# Books
Your Book Review: Plagues And Peoples // Scott Alexander, 17 min
# Community
The Apprentice Thread // Zvi, 3 min
Thoughts on a "Sequences Inspired" PhD Topic // goose000, 2 min
# Misc
Visualizing in 5 dimensions // TekhneMakre, 3 min
The Cult Deficit: Analysis and Speculation // rogersbacon, 16 min
Eponymous Laws Part I: Laws of the Internet // rogersbacon, 4 min
Unbundling Humans, or, Unbundling Human Creation. // Sajith Pai, 6 min
Can someone help me understand the arrow of time? // yair-halberstadt, 1 min
A lateral way of thinking about Cause X: barely visible but potentially enormous categories of value // Writer, 4 min
On Cerebralab On Nutt/Carhart-Harris On Serotonin // Scott Alexander, 5 min
Contra Smith On Jewish Selective Immigration // Scott Alexander, 14 min
# Podcasts
EP132 Britt Adkins on Celestial Civilization // The Jim Rutt Show, 91 min
139 – Kids These Days // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 177 min
Currents 034: Samo Burja on the Consilience Project // The Jim Rutt Show, 56 min
#102 - Tom Moynihan on why prior generations missed some of the biggest priorities of all // , 236 min
YANSS 208 – How to escape brainbound thinking and take advantage of your extended mind //
EP131 Jason Mauck on #FarmWeird // The Jim Rutt Show, 66 min
# Rational fiction
Tracey Davis and the Prisoner of Azkaban - Part 5 // lsusr, 3 min
Tracey Davis and the Prisoner of Azkaban - Part 4 // lsusr, 2 min
# Videos of the week
How your body could become its own diagnostic lab | Aaron Morris // TED, 5 min