rational
Issue #158: Full List
4 April, 2021 // View curated listScaling ETH - Why sharding is great: demystifying the technical properties, by Vitalik Buterin [Blogpost] // vitalik.ca
# Coronavirus
Covid 4/1: Vaccine Passports // Zvi, 33 min
Should I advocate for people to not buy Ivermectin as a treatment for COVID-19 in the Philippines for now? // BrianTan, 2 min
# Instrumental
The Point of Easy Progress // silentbob, 9 min Favorite
Menstrual cycle effects—Clue study summary and commentary // just_browsing, 7 min
Logan Strohl on exercise norms // RobbBB, 3 min
Progressive Highlighting: Picking What To Make Into Flashcards // AllAmericanBreakfast, 3 min
Goldfish Reading // AllAmericanBreakfast, 14 min
How many micromorts do you get per UV-index-hour? // capybaralet, 1 min
What specific decision, event, or action significantly improved an aspect of your life in a value-congruent way? How? // Eh_Yo_Lexa, 1 min
# Epistemic
Systematizing Epistemics: Principles for Resolving Forecasts // Davidmanheim, 11 min
Forecasting Newsletter: March 2021 // Radamantis, 11 min
Many methods of causal inference try to identify a "safe" subset of variation // tailcalled, 11 min
The Epistemic Trinity. // hollybugcom, 5 min
What is the semantics of assigning probabilities to future events? // Michal, 1 min
In plain English - in what ways are Bayes' Rule and Popperian falsificationism conflicting epistemologies? // Sandro P., 1 min
# Ai
Predictive Coding has been Unified with Backpropagation // lsusr, 1 min Favorite
How do we prepare for final crunch time? // elityre, 9 min
What Multipolar Failure Looks Like, and Robust Agent-Agnostic Processes (RAAPs) // Andrew_Critch, 25 min
"AI and Compute" trend isn't predictive of what is happening // alexlyzhov, 1 min
Review of "Fun with +12 OOMs of Compute" // adamShimi, 9 min
My take on Michael Littman on "The HCI of HAI" // alexflint, 9 min
Scenarios and Warning Signs for Ajeya's Aggressive, Conservative, and Best Guess AI Timelines // Pneumaticat, 11 min
TAI? // logan-zoellner, 1 min
2012 Robin Hanson comment on “Intelligence Explosion: Evidence and Import” // RobbBB, 3 min
AI and the Probability of Conflict // tonyoconnor, 9 min
Hardware is already ready for the singularity. Algorithm knowledge is the only barrier. // andrew-vlahos, 4 min
Transparency Trichotomy // mark-xu, 8 min
Optimization, speculations on the X and only X problem. // donald-hobson, 3 min
A use for Classical AI -- Expert Systems // Glpusna, 2 min
# Meta-ethics
Julia Galef and Matt Yglesias on bioethics and "ethics expertise" // RobbBB, 5 min
The importance of how you weigh it // joekc, 15 min
Moral Golems // Erich_Grunewald, 7 min
Unification seems to be a way to avoid infinitarian paralysis in consequentialist aggregative ethics. // Szymon Kucharski, 5 min
# Longevity
Core Pathways of Aging // johnswentworth, 27 min Favorite
2 innovative life extension approaches using cryonics technology // MathieuRoy, 2 min
# Anthropic
Learning Russian Roulette // Bunthut, 2 min
Could billions spacially disconnected "Boltzmann neurons" give rise to consciousness? // Szymon Kucharski, 1 min
Explaining Stylized UFO Facts // Robin Hanson, 10 min
UFO Stylized Social Facts // Robin Hanson, 8 min
# Decision theory
Tales from Prediction Markets // ike, 4 min Favorite
Violating the EMH - Prediction Markets // deluks917, 4 min
Speculations Concerning the First Free-ish Prediction Market // mike_hawke, 2 min
An exploration of exploitation bias // UnexpectedValues, 13 min
Phylactery Decision Theory // Bunthut, 3 min
Examples of Acausal Trade with an Alien Universe? // mikkel-wilson, 1 min
# Math and cs
A command-line grammar of graphics // philh, 3 min
Inframeasures and Domain Theory // Diffractor, 46 min
The (not so) paradoxical asymmetry between position and momentum // ejenner, 5 min
Analyzing Multiplayer Games using Impact // midco, 12 min
Bridging Two Esoteric 4-Value Logics Using Quantum Physics: Answered Modal Logic vs Catuṣkoṭi // bvssvni, 3 min
Infra-Domain proofs 1 // Diffractor, 41 min
Infra-Domain Proofs 2 // Diffractor, 38 min
# Books
Notes from "Don't Shoot the Dog" // juliawise, 15 min
# Ea
What are all these children doing in my ponds? // dominicq, 3 min
Notes on effective-altruism-related research, writing, testing fit, learning, and the EA Forum // MichaelA, 3 min
People are gathering 2 million USD to save a kid with a rare disease. I feel weird about it. Why? // hookdump, 1 min
# Community
Rationalism before the Sequences // eric-raymond, 12 min
Some Complaint-Action Gaps // mike_hawke, 1 min
# Fun
Why We Launched LessWrong.SubStack // Benito, 5 min
A new acausal trading platform: RobinShould // matthew-barnett, 1 min
Center for Applied Postrationality: An Update // DonyChristie, 3 min
April drafts // AI Imacts, 1 min
The Holy Algorithm // Elmer of Malmesbury, 2 min
# Misc
Bureaucracy is a world of magic // dominicq, 3 min
Forcing yourself to keep your identity small is self-harm // gworley, 2 min
Buying a house and making friends in unexpected places // dominicq, 1 min
What Do We Know About The Consciousness, Anyway? // alex_lw, 30 min
Improvement for pundit prediction comparisons // orthonormal, 1 min
What Happens To Your Brain When You Write? // mikejari, 2 min
What is the Difference Between Cheerful Price and Shadow Price? // zachary-robertson, 1 min
Agreeing to Disagree: towards a better understanding of agreeableness // aaronb50, 9 min
On Information Presented by Authorities // adaminoue
The right combination, Non-negotiable contracts and rationalizations. // hollybugcom, 3 min
Oh, The Places You'll Go When Trying To Figure Out The Right Dose Of Escitalopram // Scott Alexander, 7 min
Ambidexterity And Cognitive Closure // Scott Alexander, 7 min
# Videos of the week
HIV vaccine approach succeeds in first clinical trial // Scripps Research, 6 min