rationalnewsletter

Issue #157

Same data, different conclusions: Findings from 162 researchers in 73 teams testing the same hypothesis with the same data reveal a universe of unique analytical possibilities leading to a broad range of results. // osf.io

# Coronavirus

Another RadVac Testing Update // johnswentworth, 6 min

Covid 3/25: Own Goals // Zvi, 23 min

Canada Covid Update: thinking out loud // malcolmocean, 4 min

The Strange Case of the Amarillo Option // adaminoue, 1 min

Why is COVID reinfection rate still so uncertain. // gleb, 1 min

# Instrumental

How You Can Gain Self Control Without "Self-Control" // spencerg, 27 min

Calibrating Adequate Food Consumption // Gunnar_Zarncke, 1 min

# Epistemic

A parable of brightspots and blindspots // remmelt-ellen, 3 min

# Ai

My research methodology // paulfchristiano, 19 min

My AGI Threat Model: Misaligned Model-Based RL Agent // steve2152, 19 min

Coherence arguments imply a force for goal-directed behavior // KatjaGrace, 13 min

Against evolution as an analogy for how humans will create AGI // steve2152, 30 min

Generalizing Power to multi-agent games // midco, 7 min

# Meta-ethics

Thirty-three randomly selected bioethics papers // RobbBB, 59 min

# Longevity

Weight and Aging: a Paradox, Part 2 // Josh Mitteldorf, 9 min

# Anthropic

On future people, looking back at 21st century longtermism // joekc, 14 min

A dashboard for progress // jasoncrawford, 2 min

The Price Of Space Is Friendship // sxae, 3 min

Are Expansive Aliens Obvious? // Robin Hanson, 1 min

Given Our Date, Is Sun Birth Late? // Robin Hanson, 1 min

# Decision theory

Process Orientation // lincolnquirk, 6 min

Making a Cheerful Bid // AllAmericanBreakfast, 2 min

Why 1-boxing doesn't imply backwards causation // Chris_Leong, 4 min

Super Hostile Takeovers // Robin Hanson, 3 min

# Math and cs

Think like an educator about code quality // adamzerner, 10 min

Moving Data Around is Slow // SatvikBeri, 1 min

# Books

[Book Review] Destiny Disrupted // lsusr, 10 min

# Ea

Demand offsetting // paulfchristiano, 6 min

# Community

A Retrospective Look at the Guild of Servants: Alpha Phase // moridinamael, 13 min

Selling Attention for Money // mikkel-wilson, 5 min

CFAR rEUnion (September 24-27, 2021) // jiri-nadvornik, 1 min

[event] Cryonics icebreaker // MathieuRoy, 1 min

# Misc

Toward A Bayesian Theory Of Willpower // Yvain, 7 min

The best frequently don't rise to the top // adamzerner, 4 min

Communication Requires Common Interests or Differential Signal Costs // Zack_M_Davis, 3 min

Burmese Days, Mar 22; Rules of the Game and Preference Falsification in the Army // rockthecasbah, 3 min

Some things I've learned in college // aaronb50, 8 min

# Videos of the week

Is Google Translate Sexist? Gender Stereotypes in Statistical Machine Translation // Yannic Kilcher, 12 min