rationalnewsletter

Issue #153

Even in very large samples, change in personality does not cause any consistent change in politics over ten years, and “genetic models find that no additional variance is accounted for by the causal pathway from personality traits to political attitudes”. // drive.google.com

# Coronavirus

Covid 2/25: Holding Pattern // Zvi, 12 min

RadVac Commercial Antibody Test Results // johnswentworth, 3 min

Judging Our April 2020 Covid-19 Predictions // Zvi, 12 min

Why aren't we all using Taffix? // ChristianKl, 1 min

Are multiple shorter exposures less likely to reduce in infections of COVID-19 then one larger exposure? // ChristianKl, 1 min

# Instrumental

A No-Nonsense Guide to Early Retirement // tryactions, 27 min

Avoid Contentious Terms // jkaufman, 1 min

When you already know the answer - Using your Inner Simulator // neel-nanda-1, 12 min

Aim to get rejected often // amir-gamil, 3 min

The Comprehension Curve // AllAmericanBreakfast, 12 min

# Epistemic

The slopes to common sense // George3d6, 10 min

Media Bias // lsusr, 3 min

Coincidences are Improbable // mark-xu, 1 min

How to build common knowledge of rationality and honesty? // mikkel-wilson, 1 min

Argumentative prison cells // Elmer of Malmesbury, 6 min

# Ai

Is there any serious attempt to create a system to figure out the CEV of humanity and if not, why haven't we started yet? // Jonas Hallgren, 1 min

A Behavioral Definition of Goal-Directedness // adamShimi, 9 min

My Thoughts on the Apperception Engine // Jemist, 3 min

# Meta-ethics

Remarks on morality, shuddering, judging, friendship and the law // KatjaGrace, 4 min

"New EA cause area: voting"; or, "what's wrong with this calculation?" // Optimization Process, 1 min

Can you be 100% confident in your moral beliefs? // MaxG, 1 min

Suffering-Focused Ethics in the Infinite Universe. How can we redeem ourselves if Multiverse Immortality is real and subjective death is impossible. // Szymon Kucharski, 78 min

# Longevity

I’m a 19-year-old Terminal Patient. Medical Brain Preservation Should not be Difficult to Discuss or Adopt // oge, 1 min

# Anthropic

Exponential growth is the baseline // jasoncrawford, 7 min

Hail S. Jay Olson // Robin Hanson, 4 min

# Decision theory

Kelly isn't (just) about logarithmic utility // SimonM, 4 min

Never Go Full Kelly // SimonM, 9 min

Calculating Kelly // abramdemski, 4 min

What is the VIX? // jorge-velez, 1 min

# Math and cs

Minimal Map Constraints // zachary-robertson, 3 min

# Books

Reading recommendations on social technology: looking for the third way between technocracy and populism // quinn-dougherty, 1 min

# Ea

Mentorship, Management, and Mysterious Old Wizards // Raemon, 4 min

# Community

Anna and Oliver discuss Children and X-Risk // Raemon, 1 min

Principles of Agile Rationalism // AllAmericanBreakfast, 1 min

# Culture war

Useless knowledge; why people resist education improvement // andrew-vlahos, 4 min

Above the Narrative // Jacobian, 9 min

# Misc

Science Fiction // lsusr, 1 min

Survey on cortical uniformity - an expert amplification exercise // Jsevillamol, 4 min

What's your best alternate history utopia? // Kaj_Sotala, 1 min

The Grandest Vision for Humanity (Light) // Ruby, 4 min

Tsuyoku Naritai // Ruby, 4 min

# Rational fiction

[Fiction] Lena (MMAcevedo) // Kaj_Sotala, 1 min

The sailor's wife // krbouchard, 2 min

# Videos of the week

3 sneaky tactics that websites use to make you spend | Your Money and Your Mind // TED, 3 min