rational
Issue #138: Full List
15 November, 2020 // View curated list
Sunlight strongly protects against getting influenza: A 10% increase in relative sunlight decreases fall influenza by 1.1 out of 10 (Preprint). // drive.google.com
# Coronavirus
The 300-year journey to the covid vaccine // jasoncrawford, 6 min
Covid 11/12: The Winds of Winter // Zvi, 25 min
How can we lobby to get a vaccine distributed faster? // rockthecasbah, 2 min
Does there exist a detailed Bayesian COVID tracker? // Optimization Process, 1 min
Does BioNtech's vaccine result of 90% disease prevention mean that 90% of the vaccinated can't pass the virus to other people? // ChristianKl, 1 min
What risks from vaccines? // Bucky, 1 min
# Instrumental
Think in Terms of Actions, not Attributes // Collisteru, 1 min
# Epistemic
What are Examples of Great Distillers? // adamShimi, 1 min
A framework for thinking about single predictions // sil-ver, 15 min
Costs and benefits of metaphysics // George3d6, 14 min
On Arguments for God // Chris_Leong, 1 min
What are some good examples of fake beliefs? // adamzerner, 1 min
# Ai
Why those who care about catastrophic and existential risk should care about autonomous weapons // aaguirre, 22 min
Clarifying inner alignment terminology // evhub, 3 min
Why You Should Care About Goal-Directedness // adamShimi, 11 min
Early Thoughts on Ontology/Grounding Problems // johnswentworth, 5 min
Communication Prior as Alignment Strategy // johnswentworth, 8 min
Misalignment and misuse: whose values are manifest? // KatjaGrace, 1 min
Building AGI Using Language Models // leogao, 1 min
Any work on honeypots (to detect treacherous turn attempts)? // capybaralet, 1 min
A Self-Embedded Probabilistic Model // johnswentworth, 6 min
# Meta-ethics
Notes on Temperance // David_Gross, 8 min
Notes on Respect-for-Others // David_Gross, 12 min
Notes on Self Control (Continence) // David_Gross, 6 min
Notes on Wisdom // David_Gross, 4 min
My Confusion about Moral Philosophy // Nacruno96, 3 min
ALL Big Punishment Is “Cruel” // Robin Hanson, 6 min
# Anthropic
Sleeping Beauty, Cloning Beauty, and Frequentist Arguments In Anthropic Paradoxes // dadadarren, 4 min
# Decision theory
When Hindsight Isn't 20/20: Incentive Design With Imperfect Credit Allocation // johnswentworth, 7 min Favorite
Tweet markets for impersonal truth tracking? // KatjaGrace, 1 min
Incentive Problems With Current Forecasting Competitions. // Radamantis, 5 min
Time Travel Markets for Intellectual Accounting // abramdemski, 8 min
Ongoing free money at PredictIt // knite, 1 min
Is corruption a valuable antidote to overregulation? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Competitive Universal Basic Services? // Gentzel, 2 min
Specialized Labor and Counterfactual Compensation // philh, 22 min
# Math and cs
Scoring 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Predictions // Zack_M_Davis, 4 min
Cartesian Frames Definitions // RobbBB, 9 min
Model Depth as Panacea and Obfuscator // abstractapplic, 19 min
# Community
The (Unofficial) Less Wrong Comment Challenge // adamShimi, 2 min
How to get the benefits of moving without moving (babble) // mingyuan, 10 min
The Darwin Game - Rounds 1 to 2 // lsusr, 1 min
Why I’m Writing A Book // Samo Burja, 3 min
Tips on organizing online meetups // JoshuaFox, 2 min
The Darwin Game - Rounds 3 to 9 // lsusr, 2 min
Final Babble Challenge (for now): 100 ways to light a candle // jacobjacob, 5 min
Michael Vassar at the SlateStarCodex Online Meetup // JoshuaFox, 1 min
Stuart Russell at the SlateStarCodex Online Meetup // JoshuaFox, 1 min
Stuart Russell at SlateStarCodex Online Meetup // JoshuaFox, 1 min
My default frame: some fundamentals and background beliefs // Pontor, 8 min
Interest survey: Forming an MIT Mystery Hunt team (Jan. 15-18, 2021) // jchan, 1 min
# Culture war
Two reasons to expect a peaceful change of power in the US // rockthecasbah, 2 min
Please steelman the accusations of election fraud // rockthecasbah, 1 min
Reading/listening list for the US failing or other significant shifts? // nicole-ross, 1 min
Did anybody calculate the Briers score for per-state election forecasts? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Universal Basic Dorms // Robin Hanson, 7 min
# Misc
Are the social sciences challenging because of fundamental difficulties or because of imposed ones? // ozziegooen, 13 min
What Would Advanced Social Technology Look Like? // johnswentworth, 1 min
Open Problems Create Paradigms // johnswentworth, 3 min
What could one do with truly unlimited computational power? // yitz, 2 min
Yes to Feature Requests, No to Entitlement // jkaufman, 2 min
Automating reasoning about the future at Ought // jungofthewon, 1 min
We Will Never Learn More On Consciousness // Robin Hanson, 2 min
# Podcasts
[Link] Digital Democracy Is Within Reach // Alexei, 1 min
EP92 Alexa Clay on Intentional Communities // The Jim Rutt Show, 72 min
Benjamin Todd on what the effective altruism community most needs (80k team chat #4) // The 80000 Hours team, 85 min
EP91 Joe Brewer on Applied Cultural Evolution // The Jim Rutt Show, 74 min
Are Boomers to blame for Millennials' struggles? // Rationally Speaking, 59 min
# Videos of the week
Making Talking Memes With Voice DeepFakes! // Two Minute Papers, 6 min