rational
Issue #120: Full List
12 July, 2020 // View curated list
Consumers prefer round numbers even when the specific number is better news. // drive.google.com
# Coronavirus
Covid 7/9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates // Zvi, 20 min
Covid-19: Analysis of Mortality Data // Zvi, 15 min
What are the risks of permanent injury from COVID? // daniel-kokotajlo, 1 min
Quantifying Household Transmission of COVID-19 // Owain_Evans, 5 min
Maximal Ventilation // jkaufman, 2 min
Partially Stepping Down Isolation // jkaufman, 2 min
Cost/Benefit analysis of School Closures in the US // [email protected], 3 min
Nicotinamide riboside vs. SARS-coV-2 update // william-walker, 1 min
Was SARS-CoV-2 actually present in March 2019 wastewater samples? // jeff-ladish, 2 min
# Instrumental
Your Prioritization is Underspecified // romeostevensit, 5 min Favorite
Kelly Bet on Everything // Jacobian, 6 min
How to Get Off the Hedonic Treadmill? // simbad, 1 min
# Epistemic
Models of Value of Learning // johnswentworth, 5 min
Anti-epistemology: an explanation // Basil Marte, 4 min
Breaking Questions Down // pktechgirl, 1 min
The Echo Fallacy // MathieuRoy, 1 min
Measuring Meta-Certainty // Bob Jacobs, 3 min
Hierarchy of Evidence // Bob Jacobs, 1 min
# Ai
DARPA Digital Tutor: Four Months to Total Technical Expertise? // JohnBuridan, 8 min Favorite
How "honest" is GPT-3? // abramdemski, 5 min
Better priors as a safety problem // paulfchristiano, 6 min
Learning the prior // paulfchristiano, 9 min
A space of proposals for building safe advanced AI // ricraz, 4 min
Arguments against myopic training // ricraz, 15 min
AI Research Considerations for Human Existential Safety (ARCHES) // habryka4, 1 min
Mesa-Optimizers vs “Steered Optimizers” // steve2152, 9 min
Dynamic inconsistency of the inaction and initial state baseline // Stuart_Armstrong, 2 min
Talk: Key Issues In Near-Term AI Safety Research // alenglander, 1 min
Dynamic inconsistency of the stepwise inaction baseline // Stuart_Armstrong, 2 min
Antitrust-Compliant AI Industry Self-Regulation // Cullen_OKeefe, 1 min
How well can the GPT architecture solve the parity task? // FactorialCode, 1 min
Why is the impact penalty time-inconsistent? // Stuart_Armstrong, 2 min
What problem would you like to see Reinforcement Learning applied to? // julian-schrittwieser, 1 min
How far is AGI? // roko-jelavic, 1 min
Meta Programming GPT: A route to Superintelligence? // dmtea, 4 min
Most probable AGI scenarios? // Anirandis, 1 min
# Anthropic
Should I take an IQ test, why or why not? // snog toddgrass, 1 min
What is the scientific status of 'Muscle Memory'? // Self-Embedded Agent, 1 min
[Reference request] Can Love be Explained? // Self-Embedded Agent, 1 min
We Colonize The Sun First // Robin Hanson, 4 min
Future Timeline, in Econ Growth Units // Robin Hanson, 4 min
# Decision theory
What should we do about network-effect monopolies? // benkuhn, 1 min Favorite
Survival in the immoral maze of college // AllAmericanBreakfast, 6 min
(answered: yes) Has anyone written up a consideration of Downs's "Paradox of Voting" from the perspective of MIRI-ish decision theories (UDT, FDT, or even just EDT)? // jameson-quinn, 1 min
When a status symbol loses its plausible deniability, how much power does it lose? // MathieuRoy, 1 min
As Few As Possible // Decius, 2 min
[Resource Request] What are good resources for best practice for creating bureaucracy? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Does 3-2-1 Voting work using a six point scale? // TGetschman, 1 min
# Math and cs
Canonical forms // sen, 1 min
How do you visualize the Poisson PDF? // rudi-c, 1 min
Born as the seventh month dies ... // rudi-c, 2 min
# Books
The Equation of Knowledge // le-nguyen-hoang-1, 8 min
Thomas More on How to Corrupt Law // Robin Hanson, 2 min
Notes: A Distant Mirror by Barbara Tuchman // Venkatesh Rao, 1 min
# Ea
Short (2.5 min) intro to Effective Altruism for busy people // dominicq, 1 min
# Relationships
When is evolutionary psychology useful? // snog toddgrass, 1 min
Learning flirting with an acting coach - thoughts? // snog toddgrass, 1 min
# Community
How far along are you on the Lesswrong Path? // AiresJL, 4 min
Lurking More Before Joining Complex Conversations // Raemon, 3 min
What are your thoughts on rational wiki // snog toddgrass, 1 min
Online Google Meets - SSC Meetup - July 19th at 17:30 GMT (10:30 PDT) with Joscha Bach // Bjartur Tómas, 1 min
# Culture war
Something about the Pinker Cancellation seems Suspicious // Virgil Kurkjian, 5 min
Slate Star Codex and Silicon Valley’s War Against the Media // PointlessOne
# Misc
Was a terminal degree ~necessary for inventing Boyle's desiderata? // AllAmericanBreakfast, 5 min
Was a PhD necessary to solve outstanding math problems? // AllAmericanBreakfast, 4 min
Frankenstein Delenda Est // evan-huus, 4 min
Could Nixon going to China be a cause for the big stagnation? // ChristianKl, 1 min
Spoiler-Free Review: Horizon Zero Dawn // Zvi, 9 min
Translate music intonation into words using color semantics (as a means of communication) // alexey-smirnov, 3 min
Why does "deep abstraction" lose it's usefulness in the far past and future? // D0TheMath, 1 min
# Podcasts
#81 - Ben Garfinkel on scrutinising classic AI risk arguments // The 80000 Hours team, 158 min
Currents 008: Christopher Conselice: Finding Extraterrestrial Intelligence // The Jim Rutt Show, 53 min
EP63 Michel Bauwens on P2P & Commons // The Jim Rutt Show, 85 min
EP64 Colin Wright on The New Evolution Deniers // The Jim Rutt Show, 68 min
# Videos of the week
3 secrets of resilient people | Lucy Hone // TED, 16 min