rational
Issue #106: Full List
5 April, 2020 // View curated list
# Coronavirus
Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously // Zvi, 20 min
Research on repurposing filter products for masks? // TurnTrout, 1 min
A quick and crude comparison of epidemiological expert forecasts versus Metaculus forecasts for COVID-19 // Jotto999, 1 min
Coronavirus: California case growth // VipulNaik, 9 min
How About a Remote Variolation Study? // Liron, 1 min
Has LessWrong been a good early alarm bell for the pandemic? // AllAmericanBreakfast, 1 min
Would Covid19 patients benefit from blood transfusions from people who have recovered? // Donald Hobson, 1 min
Mask wearing: do the opposite of what the CDC/WHO has been saying? // shminux, 1 min
How credible is the theory that COVID19 escaped from a Wuhan Lab? // Self-Embedded Agent, 1 min
"Preparing for a Pandemic: Stage 3: Grow Food if You Can [COVID-19, hort, US, Patreon]" // Kenny, 1 min
The attack rate estimation is more important than CFR // avturchin, 3 min
C19 Prediction Survey Thread // jacob_cannell, 1 min
What marginal returns now? // jmh, 1 min
How many people have died in China from Covid-19? // DonyChristie, 1 min
What's the expected QALY (quality-adjusted life years) loss per capita due to SARS-COV-2? QALY gain of increasing ICU capacity? Of buying new ventilators? // CheerfulWarrior, 1 min
Pandemic Dashboard: 2 // Venkatesh Rao, 1 min
Beware R0 Variance // Robin Hanson, 2 min
SSC Journal Club: MacIntyre On Cloth Masks // Scott Alexander, 6 min
Variolation May Cut Covid19 Deaths 3-30X // Robin Hanson, 6 min
# Instrumental
How Long Can People Usefully Work? // lynettebye, 14 min
Self-Experiment: Does Working More Hours Increase My Output? // lynettebye, 4 min
Chris Masterjohn on Coronavirus, Part 1 // philh, 8 min
# Epistemic
Necessity and Warrant // namespace, 9 min
Referencing the Unreferencable // Chris_Leong, 2 min
# Ai
My current framework for thinking about AGI timelines // zhukeepa, 3 min Favorite
Atari early // KatjaGrace, 3 min
Resources for AI Alignment Cartography // Gyrodiot, 10 min
Three Kinds of Competitiveness // Daniel Kokotajlo, 6 min
Takeaways from safety by default interviews // AI Impacts, abergal, 2 min
Equilibrium and prior selection problems in multipolar deployment // JesseClifton, 12 min
What achievements have people claimed will be warning signs for AGI? // ricraz, 1 min
Openness Norms in AGI Development // Sublation, 12 min
What is the subjective experience of free will for agents? // G Gordon Worley III, 1 min
# Anthropic
How special are human brains among animal brains? // zhukeepa, 9 min Favorite
Implications of the Doomsday Argument for x-risk reduction // maximkazhenkov, 1 min
# Decision theory
Two Alternatives to Logical Counterfactuals // jessicata, 6 min
Legal Systems Very Different From Ours, Because I Just Made Them Up // Scott Alexander, 11 min
# Math and cs
A Kernel of Truth: Insights from 'A Friendly Approach to Functional Analysis' // TurnTrout, 11 min
Resource for the mappings between areas of math and their applications? // elityre, 1 min
How to study statistical/computer modelling of the current pandemic and its outcomes? // CheerfulWarrior, 1 min
# Books
Book Review: The Precipice // Scott Alexander, 21 min Favorite
Which books provide a good overview of modern human prehistory? // ChosunOne, 1 min
# Ea
The Real Standard // orthonormal, 3 min
Where should I give spare computing power, as an aspiring rationalist/altruist? // 1point7point4, 1 min
# Community
April Fools: Announcing LessWrong 3.0 – Now in VR // habryka, Ben Pace, 3 min
Kintsugi // Hivewired, 1 min
Call for volunteers: assessing Kurzweil, 2019 // Stuart_Armstrong, 1 min
Blog Post Day II Retrospective // Daniel Kokotajlo, 1 min
Announcing Web-TAISU, May 13-17 // Linda Linsefors, 1 min
For those of us living in the middle of nowhere, any cool meetup groups we can finally participate in during our lockups? // lisperati, 1 min
# Culture war
The Great Annealing // Jacobian, 9 min
# Misc
What will happen to supply chains in the era of COVID-19? // Elizabeth, 1 min
How will this recession differ from the last two? // Elizabeth, 1 min
What happens in a recession anyway? // Elizabeth, 1 min
What are some good / fun / informative treatises on good governance? // james_t, 1 min
Why do we have offices? // Mati_Roy, 1 min
# Podcasts
Scorpio Season: A New Talk Show // Venkatesh Rao, 1 min
The Mind Killer 001 – The Hammer and The Dance // The Bayesian Conspiracy, 73 min
# Videos of the week
Why sleep matters now more than ever | Matt Walker // TED, 60 min